调查：美联储1月维持利率不变的概率为97.2%

Group 1 - The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 2.8%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 97.2% [1] - By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 15.5%, with an 84.1% chance of keeping rates unchanged, and a 0.4% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut [1]