广发证券:维持金山云(03896)“买入”评级 合理价值10.49港元/股
智通财经网·2026-01-26 02:44

Core Viewpoint - The report from GF Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Kingsoft Cloud (03896), highlighting strong demand visibility and increased AI investments from Xiaomi Kingsoft, with a reasonable value estimate of HKD 10.49 per share based on comparable company valuations [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 20% year-on-year in Q4 2025, reaching a total revenue of CNY 9.5 billion, which represents a 22% increase for the entire year [2]. - The gross margin is projected to remain around 15%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 27.7%, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase after excluding one-time factors [2]. Group 2: AI Business Growth - AI public cloud revenue is anticipated to grow by 82% year-on-year in Q4 2025, reaching CNY 865 million, which will account for 32.2% of total revenue; the industry cloud is also expected to show steady growth [3]. - The net increase in property and equipment for Q3 2025 was approximately CNY 2.73 billion, indicating strong demand, with new equipment deliveries expected to support high growth in the AI business [3]. Group 3: Collaboration with Xiaomi Kingsoft Ecosystem - Xiaomi began focusing on foundational models at the end of 2024, with multiple lightweight models set to be released in 2025, including the MiMo-V2-Flash language model with 309 billion parameters, showcasing high efficiency [4]. - From January to September 2025, the company generated CNY 1.82 billion in revenue from the Xiaomi Kingsoft ecosystem, with expectations that contributions from Xiaomi will approach the upper limit of related transactions in 2025 and further increase in 2026 [4]. Group 4: Capital Expenditure and Future Projections - High capital expenditures are expected to continue into 2026, exceeding CNY 10 billion, driven by sustained strong demand [5]. - Revenue for 2026 is projected to grow by 28.8% year-on-year, reaching CNY 12.2 billion, with AI public cloud revenue expected to increase by 85% to CNY 5.37 billion, accounting for 44% of total revenue [5]. - The company anticipates maintaining gross margins while narrowing expense ratios, with adjusted operating profit turning positive and further improvements in adjusted EBITDA margins [5].

GF SECURITIES-广发证券:维持金山云(03896)“买入”评级 合理价值10.49港元/股 - Reportify