Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-26 09:33Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced fluctuations on January 26, with cyclical sectors leading gains while growth sectors retreated. The Battery 50 ETF (159796) closed down by 1.77%, with funds attracting over 150 million yuan in the previous three days [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) saw most of its constituent stocks decline, with significant drops including Sanhua Intelligent (down over 3%) and Guoxuan High-Tech (down over 2%) [3]. - The top ten constituent stocks of the Battery 50 ETF showed a range of declines, with the largest drop being 3.89% for Sanhua Intelligent and the smallest being 1.43% for Ningde Times [4]. Group 2: Earnings Forecasts - Recent earnings forecasts for 2025 from leading battery companies indicate strong performance, with 11 out of 13 companies reporting year-on-year growth. Leading the pack is Sanhua Intelligent, with a projected profit increase of 424% to 529% [5]. - The projected net profit for Sanhua Intelligent is between 1.5 billion yuan and 1.8 billion yuan, while other companies like Daoshih Technology and Tianci Materials also show significant growth forecasts [5]. Group 3: Demand and Industry Outlook - The battery sector's strong performance is attributed to steady growth in demand for power batteries and explosive growth in energy storage batteries. The demand is expected to continue rising, with new technologies like solid-state batteries opening up new market opportunities [6]. - By December 2025, domestic lithium iron phosphate battery installation volume is expected to reach 79.8 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 30.82%, while power battery exports are projected to hit 19.0 GWh, up 47.29% year-on-year [7]. Group 4: Technological Developments - Solid-state batteries are anticipated to see significant breakthroughs, with policy support and emerging industries driving demand. The production of semi-solid batteries is expected to exceed 10 GWh by 2025, with a focus on leading battery cell companies and material firms [7]. - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) has a high content of solid-state batteries (45%) and energy storage (18.7%), positioning it to benefit from the growth in these sectors [8][10]. Group 5: Investment Strategy - The battery sector's fundamentals and technological catalysts are expected to support strong stock performance. Given the complexity of the industry, index investment may be a more effective strategy to capture opportunities in the battery sector [7]. - The Battery 50 ETF (159796) is noted for its leading scale and low management fee of 0.15% per year, making it an attractive option for investors looking to capitalize on the battery sector's growth [12].