THDB(SH:600867) Quan Jing Wang·2026-01-26 11:57Core Viewpoint - Tonghua Dongbao is expected to achieve a significant turnaround in its financial performance for 2025, with a projected net profit of approximately 1.242 billion yuan and a net profit excluding non-recurring gains of about 402 million yuan, both showing a substantial recovery compared to the previous year [1] Group 1: Performance Highlights - The company's insulin analog products are experiencing rapid growth, with sales increasing by over 100% year-on-year, becoming the main driver of revenue growth [2] - In Q3 2025, revenue from insulin analogs surpassed that of traditional human insulin, marking a key milestone in product upgrade [2] - Tonghua Dongbao's market share in the insulin sector remains second in the industry, with human insulin market share rising to 45.5%, maintaining the leading position domestically [2] Group 2: R&D Progress - The company is increasing R&D investment, advancing multiple innovative drug projects in the metabolic disease field [3] - Significant progress has been made with GLP-1 drugs, including the completion of Phase III clinical trials for semaglutide and positive results from Ib phase trials for a GLP-1/GIP dual-target agonist [3] - The company is also accelerating the development of insulin combination formulations and has received marketing approval for a gout drug, showcasing a diversified pipeline [3] Group 3: International Expansion - Tonghua Dongbao's internationalization has accelerated, with several core products achieving registration and market access breakthroughs in emerging markets [4] - The company is implementing a dual-output model of "raw materials + formulations," with significant progress in the internationalization of insulin analogs and human insulin [4] - The strategy includes breakthroughs in mature markets and rapid access in emerging markets, gradually building a sales network across multiple regions [4] Group 4: Shareholder Returns and Talent Incentives - The controlling shareholder, Dongbao Industrial Group, has increased its stake by 228 million yuan, reflecting confidence in the company's future [5] - The company plans to repurchase shares worth 20 to 40 million yuan for employee stock ownership or equity incentives, aiming to align interests among shareholders, the company, and employees [6] Group 5: Value Reassessment - Experts believe that as the revenue share of insulin analogs continues to rise, Tonghua Dongbao's profit structure and growth quality are expected to improve further [7] - The company is constructing a new growth pattern through the volume increase of insulin analogs, gradual realization of innovative drugs, and accelerated internationalization [7]