Earnings Preview: New Jersey Resources (NJR) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Viewpoint - New Jersey Resources (NJR) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending December 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to reveal quarterly earnings of $0.99 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 23.3%, while revenues are projected to be $514.43 million, representing a 5.3% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 8.91% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for NJR is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +1.27%, suggesting a more optimistic view from analysts [12]. Historical Performance - NJR has a history of beating consensus EPS estimates, having done so in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +6.67% in the most recent quarter [13][14]. Stock Movement Factors - The stock's movement will depend not only on the earnings results but also on management's commentary during the earnings call, which will influence future earnings expectations [2][15].