Youtube·2026-01-26 21:30Core Viewpoint - Revolution Medicines has experienced significant stock volatility, with shares reaching an all-time high earlier this month but plummeting recently due to speculation regarding a potential acquisition by Merck and other companies [1][5]. Company Overview - Revolution Medicines operates in the oncology therapeutic space, focusing on late-stage trials for molecular inhibitors aimed at treating difficult cancers such as pancreatic, colon, and lung cancer [3][4]. - The company has not generated substantial revenue in recent years, with a slight revenue recorded in 2023 from a collaboration expiry [5]. Acquisition Speculation - There has been speculation about potential acquisition interest from Merck, with discussions valuing the company between $28 billion and $32 billion, which significantly impacts its market capitalization [5]. - Analysts suggest that the excitement around the stock is largely driven by the potential for a buyout, with over 20 analysts currently in the buy camp [6][7]. Market Performance - The stock has seen a substantial increase since August, attributed to the anticipation of FDA approval for its drugs and acquisition talks [4][10]. - The market capitalization was reported at approximately $23 billion, with the stock trading at 700 times next year's sales, which are estimated to be around $33 million [12]. Future Projections - Analysts project a potential organic milestone sales target of $10 billion for Revolution Medicines by 2035, despite the current lack of revenue [9]. - There is a significant variance in analyst ratings, with high estimates reaching $170 and lows around $73, indicating uncertainty in the stock's future performance [11][13].