黄金早参 | 美政府再现关门危机，交易所出手降温，金价上演过山车行情

Core Viewpoint - The escalation of geopolitical tensions and the increased probability of a U.S. government shutdown have driven up safe-haven demand, resulting in a rise in gold prices, with COMEX gold futures reaching a peak of $5107 before closing at $5004.8 per ounce, marking a 0.5% increase [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - Gold ETFs, such as Huaxia (518850), increased by 2.76%, while gold stock ETFs (159562) rose by 7.58%, and non-ferrous metal ETFs (516650) gained 5.52% [1] - The probability of a U.S. government shutdown by the end of January has surged to nearly 80%, up from less than 10% the previous week, indicating heightened market anxiety [1] Group 2: Influencing Factors - The surge in gold prices is attributed to several factors, including uncertainty surrounding former President Trump's policies, concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve amid an investigation into Chairman Powell, and geopolitical risks from regions such as Venezuela, Iran, and Greenland [1] - Gold prices have increased by approximately 18% this month, potentially marking the largest monthly gain in over 40 years [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Institutions remain optimistic about gold's trajectory, with Goldman Sachs raising its year-end price target for gold from $4900 to $5400 per ounce [1]