国泰海通证券:首予蜜雪集团(02097)“增持”评级 平价现制饮品国民品牌的全球扩张
智通财经网·2026-01-27 02:34

Group 1: Company Overview - The company, Mixue Group, is a leading player in the domestic ready-to-drink beverage market, known for its high-quality and affordable positioning, along with a supply chain advantage that creates barriers to entry [1] - Mixue Group operates several brands, including the tea drink brand "Mixue Ice City," the coffee brand "Lucky Coffee," and the fresh beer brand "Fulu Family," with a focus on cost advantages through direct sourcing and self-production of core ingredients [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Mixue Group are estimated to be RMB 33.7 billion, RMB 38.1 billion, and RMB 42.4 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 36%, 13%, and 11% [1] - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for the same years is RMB 5.934 billion, RMB 6.779 billion, and RMB 7.535 billion, with growth rates of 34%, 14%, and 11% [1] Group 3: Market Potential - The domestic ready-to-drink beverage market in China has grown from RMB 187.8 billion in 2018 to RMB 517.5 billion in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 22.5%, indicating significant growth potential [2] - The penetration rate of ready-to-drink beverages in the beverage market is expected to increase, driven by consumer demand for fresh, healthy, and diverse flavors, as well as the rise of delivery channels [2] Group 4: Expansion Opportunities - The company has significant domestic and international expansion potential, with estimated store openings of 60,000 to 70,000 for the Mixue Ice City brand and 18,000 for the Lucky Coffee brand in China, and over 40,000 potential openings overseas, particularly in Southeast Asia [3] - The acquisition of the fresh beer brand Fulu Family allows Mixue Group to diversify its offerings and establish itself as a platform company in the beverage industry [3]

Haitong Securities-国泰海通证券:首予蜜雪集团(02097)“增持”评级 平价现制饮品国民品牌的全球扩张 - Reportify