纸白银等待进一步反弹 聚焦本周美联储会议

Group 1 - The current trading price of silver is at 24.653 yuan per gram, down 1.71% from the opening price of 25.067 yuan per gram, with a daily high of 26.305 yuan and a low of 22.901 yuan, indicating a short-term sideways trend in the market [1] - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is a focal point for the market, with expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged between 3.50% and 3.75%. There is renewed concern over the independence of the central bank due to investigations into Chairman Powell and pressure from the Trump administration for rate cuts [1] - The U.S. Treasury market is signaling easing, with strong demand for two-year Treasury auctions and a decline in yields, as the 10-year Treasury yield has fallen to 4.211%. Despite ongoing trade tensions and fiscal pressures, the appeal of non-yielding assets like silver has increased significantly [1] Group 2 - According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January is 2.8%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 97.2%. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut rises to 15.5%, with an 84.1% chance of rates remaining unchanged [2] - Technical analysis of silver indicates that after an initial price surge, it has dropped over 2%. The one-hour Bollinger Bands suggest a potential rebound, with decreasing downward momentum indicated by the MACD histogram. Support levels are noted between 21.00 and 22.50, while resistance is seen between 26.00 and 27.00 [3]