Core Insights - The Value Fund achieved a return of +0.4% for 2025, significantly impacted by a -4.3% drag from currency headwinds due to a weakening U.S. dollar [1][2] - The fund underperformed compared to broader market indices, with the S&P/TSX returning +31.7%, S&P 500 +12.5%, and DJIA +9.7% [4][5] - The "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks contributed 42% of the S&P 500's gains, highlighting a concentration of performance among a few large-cap names [5] Currency and Market Dynamics - The fund maintains a long-term strategy of not hedging against currency fluctuations to avoid high transaction costs, despite short-term volatility [3] - The performance of the S&P 500 was driven by a few key companies, indicating a lack of broad market participation [4][5] Investment Philosophy - The fund emphasizes discipline in investment strategy, avoiding overvaluation despite market trends, and prioritizing capital preservation [7][8] - The fund's management acknowledges the challenges of being a value investor in a market characterized by high valuations and irrational risk-taking [9] Portfolio Performance - Alphabet Inc. was the top performer in 2025 with a return of +64.8%, driven by its strong position in web search and advancements in AI technology [15][20] - American Express contributed +24.7% to the fund, benefiting from strong revenue growth and a premium consumer base [21][22] - Compagnie Financière Richemont gained 41.8%, with positive sales growth in China and a strong luxury market position [23][24] Underperformers - Fiserv Inc. was the worst performer, declining by 67.3% due to deteriorating fundamentals and a reassessment of growth quality [27][28] - Lululemon Athletica fell 45.7%, facing challenges in growth sustainability and external shocks from U.S. trade policy [32][34] Strategic Adjustments - The fund has adopted a defensive posture entering 2026, with cash and equivalents representing 14.7% of the portfolio [14] - The fund actively managed its portfolio, selling out of four positions and initiating three new ones, reflecting a focus on valuation disparities [36] Future Outlook - The fund remains optimistic about Alphabet's future, citing its ability to leverage AI across its product suite and maintain a competitive edge [20] - The management team is focused on long-term ownership and disciplined investment strategies, with an average portfolio turnover of just 12.4% over the past five years [41]
GreensKeeper Value Fund Q4 2025 Letter