美方曝出“以土换盾”条件：乌克兰想获安全保障，先割让顿巴斯？

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration has indicated that U.S. security guarantees to Ukraine are contingent upon Kyiv agreeing to a peace deal, which may involve ceding the Donbas region to Russia [1][5]. Group 1: U.S. Position and Negotiations - Washington has suggested that if Ukraine agrees to withdraw from parts of the eastern region, it will provide more weapons to strengthen Ukraine's military during peacetime [1][5]. - U.S. officials have not given final approval to any agreements, despite Ukrainian President Zelensky stating that the security guarantee text discussed with Trump is "100% ready" [1][5]. - The U.S. stance is perceived by Ukrainian and European officials as pressuring Kyiv to make painful territorial concessions, which Moscow demands in any agreement [1][5]. Group 2: Ukrainian Response and Territorial Issues - Ukraine seeks confirmation of U.S. security guarantees before conceding any territory, but U.S. views suggest Kyiv must relinquish Donbas to end the conflict [6][7]. - A senior Ukrainian official indicated that the U.S. is using security guarantees to push Ukraine towards concessions that could bring Russia to the negotiating table [7]. - Public opinion polls show that giving up the Donbas region is a bottom line for Zelensky and most Ukrainians [7]. Group 3: Proposed U.S. Commitments - Proposed U.S. commitments may include guarantees mirroring NATO's Article 5 and coordinated military responses in the event of ongoing attacks, though these commitments may be vague for Kyiv and broad for Russia [8]. - The Kremlin insists that the conflict will not end unless Ukraine completely withdraws from the Donbas region [8]. Group 4: Ongoing Diplomatic Efforts - Peace negotiations have reportedly made significant progress, with plans for further discussions in Abu Dhabi [8]. - Zelensky confirmed a second round of trilateral meetings is scheduled, emphasizing the need for further diplomatic work on unresolved political issues [8].