Tech's massive AI spend is under scrutiny ahead of earnings. Here's what to watch
CNBC·2026-01-27 11:00

Core Insights - 2026 is expected to see continued significant spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure by major tech companies, following a substantial increase in 2025 [1][2] - The earnings season for major tech firms will provide insights into their spending plans and expected profitability from AI investments [2][3] Group 1: Capital Expenditures - The four hyperscalers—Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon—are projected to increase capital expenditures to over $470 billion in 2026, up from approximately $350 billion in 2025 [3] - Meta has raised its capital expenditure guidance for 2025 to between $70 billion and $72 billion, with analysts forecasting nearly 57% growth in 2026 to over $110 billion [18][19] - Amazon's capital expenditure forecast for 2026 has been increased to $125 billion, with analysts expecting it to grow to $146 billion [25][26] Group 2: Company-Specific Developments - Microsoft is under pressure to control costs while expanding its Azure cloud unit, with capital expenditures expected to rise to $98.8 billion this fiscal year [11][12] - Meta's AI investments have raised concerns among investors due to its reliance on digital advertising for revenue, especially after a failed product launch [16][17] - Apple is focusing on a partnership with Google for its Siri overhaul, while also monitoring its capital expenditure costs and potential iPhone sales growth [21][24] Group 3: Market Dynamics - OpenAI's commitments have reached $1.4 trillion, necessitating ongoing fundraising to support its plans, which are closely tied to the broader tech industry [6][7] - Alphabet has increased its capital expenditure forecast for 2025 to a range of $91 billion to $93 billion, with expectations of over $115 billion in 2026 [30] - Tesla's automotive deliveries fell by 8.6% in 2025, and investors are keen to see updates on its core automotive and energy sales, as well as future growth from new ventures [35][36]