Union Pacific (UNP) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates

Core Viewpoint - Union Pacific reported quarterly earnings of $2.86 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.9 per share, and showing a decline from $2.91 per share a year ago, indicating an earnings surprise of -1.47% [1] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $6.09 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.82%, and down from $6.12 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Union Pacific has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Stock Performance - Union Pacific shares have lost about 0.2% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 1.5% [3] - The current status translates into a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $2.94 on revenues of $6.14 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $12.38 on revenues of $25.43 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Union Pacific was mixed ahead of the earnings release, which could change following the recent report [6] Industry Context - The Transportation - Rail industry is currently in the bottom 16% of the Zacks industries, suggesting that the outlook for the industry can materially impact stock performance [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]