Core Viewpoint - Trump's recent threats regarding tariffs have not significantly unsettled financial markets or corporate executives, as they are perceived as strategic moves rather than serious actions [2][8]. Group 1: Analysis of Tariff Threats - Trump has issued four tariff threats in less than three weeks, typically causing investor anxiety and lowering growth forecasts for targeted countries [2][8]. - A new analysis indicates that Trump follows through on his threats approximately 25% of the time, while about 43% of the threats are either retracted or never formally implemented [9][8]. Group 2: Timeline and Trends - The majority of fully executed or investigated threats occurred between February and September, with a noted decrease in threats towards the end of last year as concerns over living costs affected his approval ratings [11][4]. - The analysis shows that Trump tends to retract his most significant threats, particularly those that would drastically increase U.S. effective tariff rates or jeopardize trade ceasefires [6][13].
特朗普关税追踪：落地概率不足三成 最引人注目的狠话常被收回
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-27 16:43