Seeking Alpha·2026-01-27 20:00Core Viewpoint - The market is overly focused on when Big Tech will monetize AI investments, while the real risk lies in the physical constraints of scaling AI infrastructure, particularly in power, cooling, and infrastructure needs [1][2]. Industry Insights - AI data center power demand is projected to surge significantly, with Wells Fargo estimating a 550% increase by 2026 and an astonishing 8,050% growth by 2030 [13][14]. - The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects global data center power demand to more than double from approximately 415 TWh in 2024 to around 945 TWh by 2030 [13]. - The Boston Consulting Group anticipates a growth in global data center power demand from 82 GW in 2025 to 127 GW by 2028, representing a 55% increase [17]. Company Focus: Bloom Energy - Bloom Energy is positioned to address the urgent power needs of AI data centers through onsite power generation using solid oxide fuel cells, reducing dependency on the grid [5][20]. - The company has seen strong revenue growth, reporting $519.05 million in Q3 2025, a 57.1% year-over-year increase, driven by demand for its fuel cell technology [33][36]. - Bloom Energy's product revenue grew by 64% year-over-year, with installation revenue spiking 105% year-over-year, indicating robust demand and favorable pricing [39][41]. Financial Performance - Bloom Energy's GAAP operating margin has improved, moving into positive territory, with adjusted operating profits growing by 470% year-over-year [41][43]. - The company reported positive operating cash flows and free cash flows in Q3 2025, indicating a strong financial position [47][51]. - Analysts expect adjusted EPS to grow by 95.9% year-over-year in 2026, reflecting strong operational efficiency and market demand [44]. Competitive Landscape - Power availability is a critical competitive advantage, as companies that can deploy GPUs faster will have a significant lead over those hindered by power constraints [9][10]. - Major tech companies like Microsoft and Meta are investing heavily in AI, with power availability being a key consideration for their data center expansions [7][12]. - Bloom Energy's ability to provide rapid onsite power solutions positions it favorably against traditional energy providers facing long interconnection timelines [24][26].