Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2026-01-28 01:17Core Viewpoint - The data center sector is driving significant growth in the power equipment industry, with capital expenditures showing high growth trends, particularly in overseas markets, while domestic giants like Alibaba and Tencent are experiencing a slowdown in capital spending [1][3]. Demand Side - Overseas capital expenditures from major companies reached $99.617 billion in Q3 2025, reflecting an 80.39% year-on-year increase and a 9.54% quarter-on-quarter rise [3]. - Domestic capital expenditures for Alibaba amounted to 31.5 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 80.10% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18.55%. Alibaba reaffirmed its three-year investment framework of 380 billion yuan, indicating potential for further investment [3]. - Tencent's capital expenditures were 13 billion yuan in Q3 2025, showing a year-on-year decline of 24.05% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 32.05%, with a downward revision of its annual guidance [3]. Supply Chain - NVIDIA reported total revenue of $57.006 billion in Q3 2025, with data center product revenue reaching $51.215 billion, marking a historical peak with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 24.62% and a year-on-year growth of 66.44%, accounting for over 89% of total revenue [4]. - TSMC's revenue for December 2025 was 335 billion new Taiwan dollars, a year-on-year increase of 20.4% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 2.5%, achieving a record high for the same period [4]. - The CPU price index rose to 99.04 in November 2025, up from 98.20 in October, while DRAM spot prices surged from $27.14 on November 17, 2025, to $71.25 by January 23, 2026, reflecting a significant increase of over 178% within two months [4]. - South Korea's semiconductor exports reached $10.73 billion from January 1 to January 20, 2026, representing a substantial year-on-year growth of 70.2% and accounting for 29.5% of total exports, an increase of 9.6 percentage points compared to the previous year [4]. Application Side - The number of models in use is steadily increasing, with token usage from January 13 to January 19, 2026, reaching 7.50 trillion, a slight decrease of 1.96% [5]. - The release of new models such as Grok4Fast, GPT-5nano, and gpt-oss-20B in Q3 2025 led to a decline of over 50% in the price of tokens for models scoring above 40 on the Artificial Analysis intelligence index [5]. Investment Recommendations - The construction of data centers is expected to drive demand for HVDC and SST technologies, with an anticipated global increase of approximately 14 GW in data center installations in 2024. Major cloud providers are expected to maintain high capital expenditures, with TSMC's capital expenditures projected to reach $52-56 billion in 2026, a year-on-year increase of about 30% [6]. - The increasing power density of data center cabinets is likely to enhance the penetration of HVDC and SST technologies, with smart busbars expected to see widespread adoption [6]. - Recommended stocks include Zhongheng Electric (002364), Oulu Tong (300870), Weiteng Electric (688226), and Sunshine Power (300274), with additional attention suggested for Kehua Data (002335), Keda (002518), Kelu Electronics (002121), Magmi Tech (002851), Jinpan Technology (688676), and Sifang Co. (601126) [6].