The Motley Fool·2026-01-28 08:51Core Insights - The long-term potential for quantum computing is overshadowed by the more immediate opportunities presented by artificial intelligence (AI) [1] - Despite significant short-term gains in quantum computing stocks, the outlook for 2026 is tempered by several challenges [3] Group 1: Market Performance - In mid-October, trailing 12-month returns for quantum computing stocks such as IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. reached as high as 6,200% [2] - Investors are experiencing FOMO as Wall Street's major stock indexes hit new highs, leading to hopes for continued performance in quantum computing stocks [3] Group 2: Technological Challenges - Quantum computers are still years away from being able to solve practical problems cost-effectively compared to classical computers [4][8] - The technology is expected to mature over time, with analysts predicting a slow evolution rather than immediate breakthroughs [6][8] Group 3: Financial Viability - Pure-play quantum computing companies are currently relying on share-based dilution to raise capital, as traditional financial services are limited for early-stage companies [9][10] - In 2025, these companies collectively raised $4.15 billion through share offerings, which has implications for existing shareholders due to dilution [12][13] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The barrier to entry in quantum computing is relatively low, which may threaten the first-mover advantage of companies like IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave [14][20] - Major tech companies, referred to as the "Magnificent Seven," are investing heavily in quantum computing, posing a competitive threat to smaller players [18][19]