Market Overview - US stocks have reached new record highs, primarily driven by the tech sector, with upcoming earnings reports from major tech companies like Tesla, Meta, and Microsoft being closely monitored [1] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain current interest rates, shifting focus back to economic conditions, while also facing scrutiny regarding its leadership and ongoing investigations [2][37] Company-Specific Developments - Amazon has announced a reduction of 16,000 jobs, bringing total layoffs to 30,000 over three months, as part of efforts to streamline operations and reduce bureaucracy [3][4] - The CEO of Amazon indicated that AI advancements will further reduce workforce needs as the company automates more processes [4] - Starbucks reported a 4% increase in same-store sales in the US for the first time in two years, although overall earnings missed expectations [34] - GE Vernova's stock is under pressure despite solid fourth-quarter results and raised guidance, primarily due to a key metric, EBITDA, missing expectations [35] Sector Insights - The tech sector's positioning has been neutral, with expectations of growth slowing in the coming quarters, yet the current setup for mega-cap tech growth appears positive [10][11] - The labor market is showing signs of slowing, with hiring rates at pandemic lows, indicating a cautious approach from companies amid economic uncertainty [16][18] - The dollar's weakness is seen as a mixed factor for corporate earnings, providing a translation benefit but lacking in volume growth [26][28] Earnings Season and Economic Outlook - Earnings season is underway, with expectations for a broadening of growth across sectors, as evidenced by the increase in sectors reporting positive growth [25] - The market is currently in a "wait and see" mode regarding hiring, with expectations that hiring will gradually pick up as earnings improve [21][24]
Fed decision looms, China reportedly approves Nvidia H200 sales, weakening US dollar and earnings