Tesla, Microsoft, and Meta earnings analysis
Youtube·2026-01-28 22:15

Market Overview - Stocks closed flat after the Fed's decision, with the Dow up 12 points or 0.03% [1] - The NASDAQ closed up 17 basis points, while the S&P 500 slid into the red, avoiding a record closing high [2] - The Russell 2000 closed down about 0.5% after an initial green start [2] Sector Performance - Technology and energy sectors outperformed, both up approximately 0.7% [3] - Consumer staples and real estate sectors led the decline, each down about 1% [3] - Healthcare sector also saw a decline of about 0.75% [4] Company Earnings Meta - Meta reported Q4 EPS of $8.88, with topline revenue of $59.89 billion, exceeding consensus of $58.42 billion [9] - Q4 ad revenue was $58.14 billion, surpassing the expected $56.79 billion [9] - For Q1, Meta forecasts revenue between $53.5 billion to $56.5 billion, above the street estimate of $51.27 billion [9] - Meta's capex for 2026 is projected between $115 billion to $135 billion, higher than the street's estimate of $110.6 billion [10] - Initial market reaction saw Meta's stock down nearly 3% despite strong revenue growth [10] - Analysts remain bullish, with over 90% rating it a buy, citing industry-leading revenue growth and scale advantages [11] Microsoft - Microsoft reported Q2 earnings that beat expectations, but shares fell 6% due to unclear reasons [20] - The company met expectations for its commercial cloud business, but personal computing revenues were in line, leading to a pullback [20] - Microsoft has remaining performance obligations above $600 billion, indicating future revenue [22] - Concerns exist regarding Microsoft's role in AI and its impact on the software business [28][30] Tesla - Tesla's Q4 EPS was $0.50, beating the consensus of $0.45 [22] - Q4 revenue was $24.90 billion, slightly below the estimate of $25.11 billion [22] - Gross margins were reported at 20.1%, exceeding the expected 17.1% [23] - Tesla's free cash flow was $1.42 billion, below the street's estimate of $1.59 billion [23] - The company is focusing on humanoid robots, projecting significant profit potential in the future [24][25] Investment Insights - Meta's long-term growth strategy is supported by its significant investments in AI and infrastructure, with a focus on revenue growth over short-term earnings [42] - Analysts suggest that Meta's current valuation at 18 times forward earnings is attractive given its growth prospects [42] - Microsoft faces challenges in maintaining its software business amidst rising AI competition, but its core products remain essential for data storage and access [30] - Tesla's future profitability is expected to be driven more by its robotics division than its electric vehicle sales, indicating a shift in its business model [25]