人民币兑美元中间价报6.9771，下调16点

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75%, aligning with market expectations [3][8] - Current indicators suggest that employment growth remains low, while the unemployment rate shows signs of stabilization. Inflation levels are still high [3][8] - The Federal Reserve is committed to achieving maximum employment and a long-term inflation rate of 2%, while closely monitoring risks to its dual mandate due to high economic uncertainty [3][8] Group 2 - As per CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged until March is 86.5%, with a 13.5% chance of a 25 basis point cut [4][9] - The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by April is 24.1%, while the likelihood of maintaining the rate unchanged is 74%, and the chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 2.0% [4][9]