美联储内部分裂+鲍威尔遭调查 伦敦金高位多空博弈

Group 1 - The latest price of London gold is 1231.78 CNY per gram, showing an increase of 21.86 CNY, or 1.81%, from the previous trading day, indicating a continued upward trend [1] - The opening price for the day was 1210.12 CNY per gram, with a daily high of 1249.54 CNY and a low of 1209.87 CNY [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate in the range of 3.5%-3.75%, with a 10 to 2 vote, indicating a cautious approach towards future rate adjustments [2] - The Fed's statement highlighted improvements in the U.S. economy, with signs of stabilization in the labor market, while removing previous concerns about increasing risks to employment [2] - There is ongoing investigation related to Fed Chair Powell, with a grand jury subpoena issued, although it remains unclear when the requested documents are due [2] Group 3 - The technical analysis for London gold indicates a high-level consolidation pattern, with prices fluctuating between 5444 and 5526 USD per ounce, and a slight decline of 0.04% observed [3] - Key technical indicators show that both daily and 4-hour RSI are in the overbought zone, suggesting a potential short-term correction [3] - The MACD indicates a divergence, with a strong mid-term bullish trend but short-term signals suggesting a possible pullback [3] Group 4 - Key resistance levels for gold are identified at 5526-5530 USD, 5600-5627 USD, and 5750-5800 USD, while support levels are at 5480-5500 USD, 5440-5460 USD, and 5380-5400 USD [4] - A breach of the 5250-5300 USD support level could alter the short-term upward trend [4] Group 5 - The short-term probability of a correction is estimated at 65%, with a potential technical pullback of 2%-5% targeting 5380-5440 USD [5] - The mid-term outlook suggests an 80% probability of continued upward movement, driven by favorable fundamentals such as Fed rate cuts and global central bank gold purchases [5] - The overall trend remains bullish, with adjustments expected to provide further upward potential, contingent on key level stability and volume [5]