Investors Are Selling, But Is This Growth Stock Actually a Bargain?

Core Insights - Remitly has experienced strong growth since its IPO in 2021, but its stock has declined significantly, down approximately two-thirds from its initial listing price of $43 [3][4] - The remittance industry, which involves hundreds of billions of dollars sent across borders annually, is dominated by traditional players like Western Union and MoneyGram, but Remitly is the fastest-growing company in this sector [2] Financial Performance - In the latest quarter, Remitly reported a revenue increase of 25% to $419.5 million, driven by a 35% rise in send volume to 19.5 million, although the take rate has decreased due to a strategic market expansion [5] - The company achieved a net income of $8.8 million, indicating it is now profitable under GAAP, although margins remain minimal [5] Future Projections - During its Investor Day conference, Remitly provided guidance through 2028, forecasting revenue growth in the high teens for 2026 and projecting revenue between $2.6 billion and $3 billion by 2028, which implies a compound annual growth rate of 20% over the next three years [6] - The company also aims for an adjusted EBITDA of $575 million to $600 million and plans to meet the "rule of 40" standard, where revenue growth and EBITDA margin combined would equal at least 40% [6] Market Position - Remitly currently has a market capitalization of $2.9 billion, trading at approximately 5 times its EBITDA forecast for 2028, suggesting potential for stock appreciation if targets are met [8] - The stock's current price is $13.61, with a 52-week range of $12.08 to $27.32, indicating significant volatility [8] Strategic Initiatives - The company has expanded its addressable market by offering services to businesses and introducing the Remitly One subscription program, which includes features like send now, pay later [9] - With strong revenue growth, a low valuation, and innovative products, Remitly is positioned as an attractive investment opportunity despite current stock weaknesses [9]