万亿级市场！低空经济，迈向场景化应用元年

Core Insights - The low-altitude economy is projected to reach a market size of 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025 and 3.5 trillion yuan by 2035, becoming a core track for cultivating new productive forces and emerging industries [4][26] - The year 2026 is seen as a pivotal year for the low-altitude economy, marking the transition from concept validation to scenario application [2][24] - The Chinese government has elevated the low-altitude economy to a strategic emerging industry, with multiple policies and frameworks established to support its development [6][28] Market Potential - The low-altitude economy market in China surpassed 500 billion yuan in 2023, reaching 505.95 billion yuan, with a projected growth of 32.5% to 670.25 billion yuan in 2024 [4][26] - The number of registered low-altitude economy-related enterprises increased significantly, with a forecast of 49,000 registrations by 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 142.26% [2][24] Policy Support - The low-altitude economy was included in national planning for the first time in February 2021, and it has been recognized as a strategic emerging industry in subsequent government reports [6][28] - The establishment of the Low Altitude Economy Development Department by the National Development and Reform Commission aims to coordinate the advancement of the low-altitude economy [6][28] Industry Structure - The low-altitude economy industry is concentrated in three major economic zones: the Greater Bay Area, Yangtze River Delta, and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, which together form the leading tier of development [7][29] - As of January 2023, there were approximately 163,000 active low-altitude economy-related enterprises in China, with significant concentrations in East and South China [7][29] Technological Advancements - The low-altitude economy has developed a complete industrial chain encompassing low-altitude manufacturing, operation, infrastructure, and information services [10][32] - China leads globally in drone research and design, with over 77,000 drone R&D companies, including major players like DJI [10][32] Investment Trends - Investment in the low-altitude economy is on the rise, with 143 financing events recorded in the first half of 2025, a 120% increase year-on-year [15][37] - The stock market has seen significant interest, with 17 concept stocks doubling in price since 2024, indicating strong investor confidence [15][37] Application Scenarios - The low-altitude logistics market is expected to grow rapidly, with projections of reaching 120 to 150 billion yuan by 2025 and 450 to 605 billion yuan by 2035 [11][33] - Companies like WanFeng Aviation are developing comprehensive applications for fixed-wing aircraft, eVTOL, and drones, covering various transportation scenarios [12][34] Challenges Ahead - The low-altitude economy faces challenges in infrastructure development, regulatory frameworks, and technological breakthroughs, which are essential for scaling operations [40][41] - Key issues include the reliance on imported components, high operational costs, and the need for a stable business model to ensure sustainable growth [40][41]