Dalio: U.S. Nears Crisis Point as Bitcoin Trapped by American Selling Pressure

Group 1: Core Insights - Ray Dalio warns that the U.S. is on the brink of transitioning from Stage 5 (pre-breakdown) to Stage 6 (systemic collapse) due to unsustainable debt and financial conditions [1][3] - Bitcoin is currently trading defensively at $88,000, trapped in a 60-day range due to record institutional selling pressure from American counterparties [1][2] - Traditional safe havens like gold and silver are reaching all-time highs, indicating a shift in investor sentiment away from Bitcoin [4] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Dalio's analysis highlights that bankrupt government finances and wealth gaps are reliable indicators of civil unrest, which he believes characterize the current American reality [2][3] - Bitcoin remains stuck between $85,000 and $94,000, with U.S. spot ETF products experiencing negative capital flows, suggesting bearish momentum driven by domestic institutions [2][6] - The persistent discount in the Coinbase premium indicates a lack of safe-haven flows into Bitcoin amid elevated macroeconomic uncertainty [5]