稀有金属ETF基金(561800)深V反转半日收涨近1%，近3天获得连续资金净流入，关键战略资源投资价值持续获看好

Core Viewpoint - The rare metals sector is experiencing significant price increases and investment interest, particularly in lithium and rare earth elements, driven by supply-demand dynamics and macroeconomic factors. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 29, 2026, the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index (930632) rose by 1.16%, with notable gains from stocks such as Sanhua Wisdom (+15.43%) and Galaxy Magnetics (+13.74%) [1] - The Rare Metals ETF (561800) saw a half-day increase of 0.73%, with a weekly cumulative rise of 7.90% as of January 28, 2026, leading among products tracking the same index [1] - The latest scale of the Rare Metals ETF reached 280 million yuan, marking a three-month high, with shares totaling 228 million, also a one-month high [1] Group 2: Price Trends and Profitability - In Q4 2025, the average price of industrial-grade lithium carbonate reached 87,000 yuan per ton, a 19% increase quarter-on-quarter, with profits per ton rising to 8,000 yuan for companies with over 50% self-owned resources [2] - If lithium carbonate prices stabilize at 150,000 yuan per ton in 2026, leading companies in lithium salt business could contribute over 9 billion yuan in profits [2] - The price increase of rare metals is attributed to a combination of resource self-sufficiency, cost control efficiency, and technological advancements, indicating a value reassessment process rather than a mere cyclical fluctuation [2] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - In a tight supply-demand balance, macro variables such as monetary policy and supply disruptions are becoming key factors influencing metal prices [2] - Lithium carbonate inventory has begun a destocking process, and expectations of reduced export tax rates for batteries have led to a preemptive demand effect, exceeding seasonal expectations [2] - The recovery of prices in the rare earth sector is supported by policy backing and pre-holiday stocking demand, reinforcing its investment value as a strategic resource [2] Group 4: Investment Tools - The Rare Metals ETF (561800) tracks the CS Rare Metals Index, which primarily allocates to lithium carbonate, minor metals, and rare earth sectors, with lithium content between 30% and 40%, making it the highest lithium-containing index available for investors [3]