Core Viewpoint - The ANZ Bank's latest monthly business outlook survey indicates a significant decline in New Zealand's business confidence index from a 30-year high in December 2025, suggesting potential challenges ahead for the economy [1] Group 1: Business Confidence - The net percentage of businesses expecting an improvement in future economic conditions dropped to 64.1% in January from 73.6% in December 2025, a decrease of nearly 10 percentage points [1] - The proportion of businesses anticipating growth in their own operations fell from 60.9% to 51.6% [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Despite the decline in confidence indicators, most sub-indicators reflecting actual economic activity remain at high levels, supporting strong GDP growth projections for Q4 2025 [1] - Analysts believe that New Zealand's economy still possesses a degree of resilience as it approaches early 2026 [1] Group 3: Inflation Pressures - Signals reflecting inflationary pressures have significantly increased, with a notable rise in businesses' pricing expectations [1] - This trend diverges from the current inflation forecast path of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), potentially posing challenges for monetary policy and adding uncertainty to the economic outlook [1]
新西兰企业信心从30年高点回落 通胀预期升温引发政策关注
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2026-01-29 05:26