Why are U.S. Bonds and Interest Rates Stuck in Neutral in Early 2026?

The U.S. 30-year Treasury Bond futures edged 1.18% higher in 2025, while the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) posted a marginal 0.19% decline. I asked where U.S. government bonds were heading in 2026 in a November 27, 2025, Barchart article, where I concluded with the following: I favor lower interest rates in 2026, but in late 2025, the path of least resistance remains a coin flip that could land on its side, suggesting another year of sideways trading.  More News from Barchart The long bond fu ...