Morning Minute: Gold Soars Toward $5,600; Bitcoin Falls

Core Insights - Gold prices have surged, approaching $5,600 per ounce, marking a significant increase of over 27% in the past year and nearly 100% year-to-date [1][2] - The rally is driven by geopolitical tensions, a weaker U.S. dollar, and speculation regarding potential monetary easing by central banks [2] - Tether has expanded its physical gold holdings to approximately 140 tonnes, valued at around $23 billion, positioning itself as one of the largest non-sovereign gold holders globally [2][3] Market Dynamics - The total market capitalization of gold is estimated at roughly $37 trillion, while Bitcoin's market cap is around $1.8 trillion [6] - A notable 5% increase in gold prices on a single day added the entire market cap of Bitcoin, highlighting the scale of the gold market's movement [4] Future Considerations - Potential scenarios that could trigger a rotation between gold and Bitcoin include renewed monetary expansion, stress in bond markets, and shifts in investor psychology [7] - If the Federal Reserve engages in large-scale balance sheet expansion, both gold and Bitcoin could benefit, with Bitcoin potentially outperforming due to its higher beta [7] - Stress in bond markets could enhance gold's appeal, while Bitcoin may regain its status as an uncorrelated hedge if market conditions worsen [7]