全球各国发现可对冲美国贸易风险的新路径

Group 1 - The article discusses the ongoing reliance of U.S. allies on American military power and the technological dominance of Silicon Valley, despite the increasing trade options available to them [1][8] - Recent bilateral agreements have accelerated the restructuring of global trade, aiming for "de-risking" economic relations with the U.S., a term previously associated mainly with trade relations with China [1][10] - The European Union's recent trade agreements with the Southern Common Market and India are highlighted as examples of how countries are unifying their strategies in response to U.S. trade threats [9][10] Group 2 - The article notes that the global economy is adapting to new trade dynamics, with the EU's ability to finalize trade agreements serving as a test of its effectiveness [2][10] - Companies are actively seeking new trade opportunities, as evidenced by the Irish Whiskey Association's praise for the EU-India trade agreement, which is crucial for offsetting losses from U.S. tariffs [10][11] - A survey of 220 economists indicates that despite the restructuring of global supply chains due to U.S. trade policies, global economic growth is expected to remain at 3% this year, consistent with previous predictions [10][11] Group 3 - The World Trade Organization's Director-General emphasizes the dual benefits of foreign investment in creating jobs and enhancing global economic resilience [3][10] - A model from Aston University suggests that if the U.S. imposes a 25% tariff, European countries could face only a 0.26% reduction in per capita income if they choose not to retaliate [11][12] - The article raises concerns about the potential geopolitical rifts arising from countries' trade diversification efforts, particularly in light of China's limited domestic consumption expansion [13][14]