Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold TER Stock Before Q4 Earnings Release?

Core Viewpoint - Teradyne is expected to report strong fourth-quarter 2025 results driven by AI-related demand, with revenues projected between $920 million and $1 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share between $1.20 and $1.46 [1][9]. Financial Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Teradyne's earnings is currently $1.36 per share, reflecting a 43.16% increase from the previous year [2]. - The consensus revenue estimate stands at $968.79 million, indicating a 28.68% year-over-year growth [2]. Performance Drivers - Strong AI-related demand in compute, networking, and memory segments is anticipated to boost Teradyne's fourth-quarter performance [4]. - Memory test sales in the third quarter of 2025 reached $128 million, more than doubling from the second quarter, with 75% from DRAM and 25% from flash memory [5]. - The Magnum 7H product, supporting HBM3E and HBM4, is expected to significantly contribute to AI-related memory applications [5]. - Increased demand for the UltraFLEXplus system, designed for high-performance processors and networking devices, is anticipated due to its advantages in handling complex AI devices [6]. - Robotics revenue is expected to show seasonal growth, focusing on expanding customer channels and leveraging AI-driven features [6]. Stock Performance - Teradyne shares have surged 132.2% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which increased by 16.9% [7]. Competitive Landscape - Teradyne faces stiff competition from Advantest, KLA, and ABB, which are expanding their presence in the AI infrastructure space [13]. - Advantest's new M5241 Memory Handler is set to enhance AI and high-performance memory testing [14]. - KLA is experiencing growth in its advanced packaging portfolio, essential for AI applications, with expected revenue exceeding $925 million in 2025, a 70% year-over-year increase [15]. - ABB is strengthening its partnership with Applied Digital to enhance electrical infrastructure for AI workloads [17]. Valuation Concerns - Teradyne's current valuation is considered stretched, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 10.41X, compared to the industry average of 6.98X [11].