Here's Why Vistra Corp. (VST) Fell More Than Broader Market

Core Viewpoint - Vistra Corp. is set to report its earnings on February 26, 2026, with expectations of significant growth in EPS and revenue compared to the previous year [2]. Financial Performance - In the latest trading session, Vistra Corp. closed at $162.58, reflecting a -1.85% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.13% [1]. - Over the past month, shares of Vistra Corp. have increased by 2.67%, outperforming the Utilities sector's gain of 1.04% and the S&P 500's gain of 0.78% [1]. - The upcoming earnings report is forecasted to show an EPS of $2.45, representing a 114.91% increase year-over-year, and revenue is expected to reach $5.27 billion, a 30.66% increase from the same quarter last year [2]. Annual Estimates - For the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $5.21 per share and revenue of $18.97 billion, indicating a -25.57% change in earnings and no change in revenue compared to the previous year [3]. Analyst Estimates - Changes in analyst estimates for Vistra Corp. are important as they reflect short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating optimism about the company's outlook [4]. - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates these estimate changes, currently ranks Vistra Corp. at 3 (Hold) [6]. Valuation Metrics - Vistra Corp. has a Forward P/E ratio of 18.97, which is higher than the industry average of 17.9 [6]. - The company has a PEG ratio of 1, compared to the Utility - Electric Power industry's average PEG ratio of 2.59 [7]. Industry Context - The Utility - Electric Power industry holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 83, placing it in the top 34% of over 250 industries [7]. - Historically, the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8].