美联储到3月维持利率不变的概率为86.6%

Core Viewpoint - The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 13.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 86.6% [1] - By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 25.5%, with a 72.2% chance of keeping rates unchanged, and a 2.2% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut [1] Summary by Categories - Interest Rate Cut Probabilities - Probability of a 25 basis point cut by March is 13.4% [1] - Cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut by April is 25.5% [1] - Probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut by April is 2.2% [1] - Interest Rate Maintenance Probabilities - Probability of maintaining the current interest rate by March is 86.6% [1] - Probability of maintaining the current interest rate by April is 72.2% [1]