Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Cathay Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Nine Dragons Paper Holdings (02689), with an expected EPS of 0.85/0.94/1.03 CNY for FY2026-2028, and a target price of 23.1 HKD based on a 25x PE for FY2026 [1] - For FY26H1, Nine Dragons Paper is expected to report a profit of 19.5-20.5 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 315.2%-336.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 50.3%-58.0%, driven by increased sales volume and prices, along with a decrease in raw material costs [1] Group 2 - Incremental profit contributions are primarily from the integrated pulp and paper production capacity at the Hubei and Beihai bases, with new capacities coming online in FY25H1 and FY25H2 [2] - For FY26H2, the outlook suggests that hardwood pulp prices are expected to rise further and remain high, while cultural and white card paper prices are at historical lows, indicating potential for price recovery and continued profit release from integrated pulp and paper production [3]
国泰海通证券:维持玖龙纸业(02689)“增持”评级 浆纸一体化驱动价值重构