资金为何密集涌入医疗ETF？

Core Viewpoint - The medical sector is showing signs of recovery in 2026, driven by policy clarity and the realization of innovative outcomes, leading to increased investment interest in medical ETFs [1][19]. Group 1: Current Core Logic and Positive Factors in the Medical Sector - The transition from "selling expectations" to "performance realization" is evident, with domestic medical device innovations gaining global recognition, thus becoming a new growth engine for the industry [3][21]. - The medical sector is experiencing a high proportion of companies meeting or exceeding their 2025 performance forecasts, indicating a favorable industry outlook [3][21]. - The recent surge in AI medical technologies is not just speculative but demonstrates clear cost-reduction and efficiency-enhancing capabilities in hospital operations and drug development [4][23]. Group 2: Policy Environment Changes - The policy environment has shifted from a "speed over quality" approach to one of "value co-creation," with recent signals indicating a more favorable stance on centralized procurement and medical insurance negotiations [6][24]. - Optimizations in the approval process for innovative medical devices and continuous improvements in procurement rules are expected to enhance the competitive landscape and restore profitability for companies [8][26]. - The introduction of a market exclusivity period in the revised Drug Administration Law is expected to boost long-term investment confidence in pharmaceutical R&D [9][27]. Group 3: Financial Support for Medical Equipment Updates - The national "two new" policy, focusing on large-scale equipment updates and consumer goods replacement, has allocated 62.5 billion yuan in special bonds to support medical equipment upgrades, benefiting listed companies in the medical device sector [10][28]. - There is a significant demand for replacing outdated medical equipment in domestic healthcare institutions, coupled with policies favoring domestic alternatives, leading to increased orders and market share for leading companies in imaging, surgical robots, and in-vitro diagnostics [10][28]. Group 4: Reasons for Recent Fund Inflows into Medical ETF (512170) - The medical ETF (512170) has seen substantial inflows, with a single-day capital increase of 499 million yuan on January 28, 2026, and a total of 1.8 billion yuan over nine consecutive trading days, reflecting a shift in market sentiment towards value recovery [1][19][14]. - The medical ETF is currently one of the largest medical-themed ETFs in A-shares, with a market size exceeding 26 billion yuan, driven by high cost-effectiveness and a consensus on bottom valuations [14][32]. - The ETF closely tracks the CSI Medical Index, with significant allocations in medical devices (53.17%) and medical services, making it an attractive option for both institutional and retail investors [14][32][34].