Auto Sector Q4 Earnings: 4 Stocks With Surprise Potential

Core Insights - The fourth-quarter earnings season for the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector is underway, with Tesla and General Motors beating earnings expectations, while PACCAR matched expectations [1] - The auto sector's earnings for fourth-quarter 2025 are projected to decline by 12.9% year-over-year, with revenues expected to contract by 5.7% [1] Industry Performance - The U.S. auto industry experienced a slowdown in the fourth quarter, with vehicle sales dropping to an annualized pace of 15.6 million units from 16.4 million in the third quarter, marking the weakest period of the year [3] - Tariffs on imported vehicles and components, along with inflation, have pressured automakers, leading to increased costs and reduced profitability [4] - The average transaction price for new vehicles reached a record $50,326 in December, contributing to affordability issues for buyers [4] - The electric vehicle (EV) market saw a significant decline, with EV sales falling to 234,000 units in the fourth quarter, down 46% sequentially and 36% year-over-year [5] Company Highlights - Ford: Sales rose 2.7% to over 545,200 vehicles in the fourth quarter, with a market share increase of 0.9%. The company expects around $19.5 billion in special charges related to restructuring its U.S. EV strategy [8][9] - QuantumScape: Focused on solid-state battery technology, the company has an Earnings ESP of +17.02% and is set to release results on Feb. 11, with a consensus loss estimate of 16 cents per share [11][12] - Lear Corp.: The company is enhancing its position through strategic acquisitions and automation, with an Earnings ESP of +1.75% and a scheduled release on Feb. 4 [13][14] - BorgWarner: A leader in clean technology solutions, BorgWarner has an Earnings ESP of +2.61% and is expected to release results on Feb. 11, with a consensus estimate of $1.16 per share [15][16]