2026: The Year of Mega-IPOs?

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 IPO market is anticipated to experience significant activity, particularly with major companies in the AI and space sectors preparing to go public, including Rocket Lab, SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic [1][7]. Company Updates - Rocket Lab faced a setback with a rupture in a stage one testing tank for its neutron rocket, which has not yet entered commercial operation, leading to a 5% drop in its shares [1][2]. - The company successfully launched its electron rocket, placing two satellites into orbit, but investor concerns remain focused on the neutron rocket's development delays [1][2]. - Rocket Lab's neutron rocket has experienced multiple delays since its initial announcement in 2021, with the latest expected launch now pushed to early 2026 [2]. Industry Trends - The space industry is gaining traction as an investment theme, driven by companies like Rocket Lab and competitors such as SpaceX [3]. - The IPO market is seeing a "perfect storm" due to the AI boom, favorable macroeconomic conditions, and a regulatory-friendly environment, which may lead to a surge in IPO activity in 2026 [7][8]. IPO Insights - Investors are advised to look for long-term financial results and trends when evaluating upcoming IPOs, rather than focusing solely on recent improvements [9][10]. - Companies like Klarna, which have a long operational history and consistent profitability, are viewed more favorably compared to newer, unproven companies in the IPO space [10]. IPOs on the Radar - Potential IPO candidates include Stripe, which is not in a rush to go public, and Plaid, which has shown significant revenue growth [14]. - Anduril, a defense technology company, is also being watched for a possible IPO, with a focus on autonomy and innovative technology [15]. - EquipmentShare, a construction equipment rental company, is set to go public soon, with a business model aimed at improving productivity in the construction industry [16][17].