Earnings Preview: Graham (GHM) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline

Company Overview - Graham (GHM) is expected to report earnings for the quarter ended December 2025, with a consensus estimate of $0.17 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 5.6% [3] - Revenues are anticipated to be $51.37 million, which represents a 9.2% increase from the previous year [3] Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is scheduled for release on February 6, and the stock price may rise if actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 2.95% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) model indicates that Graham has an Earnings ESP of -88.46%, suggesting analysts have become more pessimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Graham was expected to post earnings of $0.33 per share but delivered $0.31, resulting in a surprise of -6.06% [13] - Over the past four quarters, Graham has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14] Industry Comparison - RBC Bearings (RBC), a peer in the Zacks Manufacturing - General Industrial industry, is expected to report earnings of $2.85 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 21.8% [18] - RBC's revenues are projected to be $461.12 million, up 16.9% from the previous year, with a consensus EPS estimate revised 0.9% higher in the last 30 days [19]