Earnings Preview: Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) Q4 Earnings Expected to Decline
Frontier Frontier (US:ULCC) ZACKS·2026-01-30 16:01

Core Viewpoint - Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues, with the consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show quarterly earnings of $0.09 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 60.9% [3] - Revenues are projected to be $972.68 million, down 2.9% from the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 38.37% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Frontier Group is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -14.26% [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with significant predictive power for positive readings only [9][10] - Frontier Group's current Zacks Rank is 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Frontier Group was expected to post a loss of $0.36 per share but delivered a loss of -$0.34, resulting in a surprise of +5.56% [13] - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14] Industry Comparison - Allegiant Travel (ALGT), another player in the airline industry, is expected to report earnings per share of $2.01 for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of -4.3% [18] - Allegiant's revenues are expected to be $649.84 million, up 3.5% from the previous year, with a consensus EPS estimate revised down by 3.9% [19]