MarketAxess (MKTX) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?

Core Viewpoint - MarketAxess (MKTX) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite higher revenues for the quarter ended December 2025, with the consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1] Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for MarketAxess is $1.66 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 4.1% [3] - Revenues are anticipated to reach $212.7 million, which is a 5.1% increase from the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.06%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for MarketAxess is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +0.05% [12] Earnings Surprise Potential - MarketAxess has a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a moderate outlook, but the positive Earnings ESP indicates a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12] - The company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates in the past four quarters, with a notable surprise of +8.88% in the last reported quarter [13][14] Industry Context - Tradeweb Markets (TW), another player in the Zacks Financial - Investment Bank industry, is expected to post earnings of $0.85 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year increase of 11.8% [18] - Tradeweb's revenues are projected to be $516.57 million, up 11.5% from the previous year, but it has a negative Earnings ESP of -0.32% [19][20]