American Express Shares Slide Despite In-Line Q4 Results and Strong Profit Outlook

Core Insights - American Express reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of $3.53, aligning closely with the consensus forecast of $3.54, while revenue increased by 9% to $18.98 billion, slightly surpassing analyst expectations of $18.92 billion [1][2] Financial Performance - The revenue growth was attributed to higher Card Member spending, increased net interest income from growing revolving loan balances, and strong card fee revenue [2] - Credit loss provisions for the fourth quarter totaled $1.4 billion, an increase from $1.3 billion a year earlier, with the net write-off rate rising to 2.1% from 1.9% [4] - Total expenses increased by 10% year over year to $14.5 billion, primarily due to higher customer engagement costs and the U.S. Platinum Card refresh [4] Future Outlook - For 2026, American Express forecasts earnings per share in the range of $17.30 to $17.90, with the midpoint exceeding consensus estimates of $17.40, and projects revenue growth of 9% to 10% [2] - The company announced plans to increase its regular quarterly dividend by approximately 16% to $0.95 per share from $0.82, starting with the first-quarter 2026 payout [3]