招商证券：短期来看，茅台批价的供需关系不改

Core Viewpoint - The supply-demand relationship for Moutai prices remains unchanged in the short term, with low inventory among distributors and tight supply supporting a potential price increase [1] Short-term Analysis - Moutai's allocation quotas are nearly fulfilled before the year-end, leading to low distributor inventory levels [1] - Demand is expected to grow year-on-year at a double-digit rate, providing support for price increases [1] Long-term Perspective - Currently, the industry is at the bottom of the economic cycle, facing multiple negative constraints such as economic pressure and alcohol bans, which limit demand [1] - The solid bottom of supply-demand balance may lead to the removal of constraints in the future, creating upward price momentum and driving valuation and performance improvements [1]