中资离岸债风控周报（1月26日至30日）：一级市场发行平稳，二级市场多数上行

Primary Market - A total of 12 offshore bonds were issued this week (January 26 to 30), including 4 RMB bonds, 6 USD bonds, 1 HKD bond, and 1 EUR bond, with a total issuance scale of $31.7552 billion [1] - The largest single issuance in the offshore RMB bond market was 3.5 billion RMB by Zhejiang Provincial Port Investment and Operation Group Co., Ltd., with the highest coupon rate of 6.7% issued by Zoucheng Limin Construction Development Group Co., Ltd. [1] - In the offshore USD bond market, the largest single issuance was $600 million by Link REIT, with the highest coupon rate of 12.75% issued by Dalian Wanda Commercial Management Group Co., Ltd. [1] Secondary Market - Most yields on Chinese USD bonds rose this week, with the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD Bond Composite Index increasing by 0.12% to 252.36 [2] - The investment-grade USD bond index rose by 0.1% to 245.19, while the high-yield USD bond index increased by 0.29% to 244.5 [2] - The real estate USD bond index rose by 0.58% to 181.84, and the city investment USD bond index increased by 0.96% to 154.83, while the financial USD bond index fell by 0.16% to 292.79 [2] Benchmark Spread - As of January 30, the spread between 10-year benchmark government bonds in China and the U.S. widened to 243.1 basis points, an increase of 2.2 basis points from the previous week [3] Rating Changes - Chengdu Airport Industry Investment Development Co., Ltd. had its 'A-' international long-term issuer rating withdrawn by United International for commercial reasons on January 26 [4] - Yancoal Energy Group Co., Ltd. had its "Ba2" company rating withdrawn at the company's request by Moody's on January 28 [4] - Chengdu Dongfang Guangyi Investment Co., Ltd. had its 'BBB+' international long-term issuer rating withdrawn by United International for commercial reasons on January 29 [4] Domestic News - The Shanghai Free Trade Zone successfully completed the global issuance of its first offshore bond on January 27, with a scale of 200 million RMB and a coupon rate of 1.88%, marking a significant innovation in China's offshore financial market [5] - As of January 28, local governments have disclosed a refinancing special bond scale exceeding 300 billion RMB for replacing hidden debts, with a focus on 10-year and longer maturities [6] - The China Development Bank Hong Kong Branch issued its first public bond in Macau on January 27, amounting to 5.5 billion RMB, marking a milestone for policy bank bonds in the region [6] Overseas News - The Federal Reserve announced on January 28 that it would maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75%, aligning with market expectations amid economic uncertainties [7] - Former Federal Reserve Board member Kevin Warsh was nominated by President Trump to become the next Fed Chair, pending Senate approval [8] Default and Extension Alerts - China Overseas Land & Investment Limited expects a net loss of 13 to 15.5 billion RMB for 2025, compared to a loss of 8.662 billion RMB in the previous year [9] - Jinke Property Group Co., Ltd. anticipates a net profit of 30 to 35 billion RMB for 2025, but expects a loss of 29 to 35 billion RMB after excluding non-recurring gains and losses [10] - Shimao Group Holdings Limited reported an additional overdue debt of 3 million RMB this month, with total overdue debts amounting to 16.899 billion RMB [11] - Ruian Real Estate announced the repurchase and cancellation of $295 million in bonds due in June 2026 [12]