“最后期限”前 美国伊朗如何出牌

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating tensions between the United States and Iran, highlighting the potential military actions by the U.S. and Iran's responses, as well as the implications for regional stability and global oil markets [1][5][10]. Group 1: U.S. Objectives and Strategies - The U.S. has three core objectives regarding Iran: to force Iran to terminate its nuclear program and destroy long-range missiles that threaten U.S. and Israeli interests in the region, to seek regime change to expand U.S. influence in the Middle East, and to control Iran's oil resources to manipulate the global oil market [3][8][9]. - The U.S. is considering various military options against Iran, including limited strikes on key nuclear facilities and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, as well as potential comprehensive military action, although the latter is deemed less likely due to high political and economic costs [6][7]. Group 2: Iran's Military and Diplomatic Responses - Iran is preparing for military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz, signaling its readiness to respond to U.S. aggression, and has communicated with regional countries to seek diplomatic support [10][12]. - Iran's military capabilities are significant, with potential retaliatory strikes against U.S. military bases and allies in the region if attacked [11]. Group 3: Regional and Global Implications - Any conflict could lead to a regional crisis, drawing in neighboring countries and potentially causing long-term complications for the U.S. [4][11]. - A military confrontation could disrupt global oil supply routes, leading to a sharp increase in oil prices and negatively impacting the world economy, which could, in turn, affect the U.S. economy [5][11]. Group 4: Sanctions and International Relations - The U.S. has implemented new sanctions targeting Iranian officials and entities, with the EU also imposing sanctions and designating the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization [12][13]. - Russia is engaging with Iran to strengthen bilateral relations, particularly in economic terms, amidst the ongoing tensions with the U.S. [13].