2月全省大部降水偏少 平均最低气温比常年略高

Core Insights - The weather forecast for February 2026 in Guangdong province indicates a significant reduction in precipitation across most areas, with temperatures expected to be close to or slightly above historical averages [1][2] - The forecast predicts four cold air events throughout the month, which may lead to low-temperature rainy weather in certain regions, particularly in northern Guangdong during the early part of the Spring Festival [1][2] Summary by Sections Precipitation Forecast - Most areas in Guangdong are expected to experience a 20% to 50% decrease in rainfall compared to the historical average, except for the southwestern region, which may see a 10% increase [1] - In Guangzhou, the expected monthly rainfall is between 20mm and 45mm, averaging 25mm to 40mm, which is 20% to 50% lower than the historical average of 51.7mm [2] Temperature Forecast - Average temperatures in northern Guangdong are projected to be 0.5°C to 1.0°C higher than the historical average, while most other areas will be close to or slightly above the norm [1] - In Guangzhou, the average temperature is forecasted to range from 15.5°C to 18.0°C, with an overall average of 16.2°C to 16.7°C, also reflecting a 0.5°C to 1.0°C increase compared to the last 30 years [2] Cold Air Events - The month is expected to see four cold air processes occurring on specific dates: February 6-8 (weak), 11-13 (weak), 16-18 (moderate to weak), and 24-27 (weak) [1] - The cold air events are likely to coincide with periods of light to moderate rainfall, particularly affecting northern regions of Guangzhou from February 17-19 [2] Public Advisory - The meteorological departments advise the public to monitor daily weather updates due to the long-term nature of the forecasts, as actual conditions may vary [2] - There is a warning regarding the potential impacts of reduced rainfall on forest fire risks and the need for careful water management during the month [2]