The Motley Fool·2026-02-01 03:05Core Viewpoint - The recent sell-off in Mastercard and Visa stocks presents a significant buying opportunity for long-term investors despite concerns over consumer spending and proposed interest rate caps [1]. Financial Performance - Mastercard's revenue increased by 18%, while Visa's revenue rose by 15% [4]. - Mastercard's operating income grew by 25%, with operating margins reaching 55.8% and diluted EPS increasing by 24% [4]. - Visa's operating margin was 61.8%, with non-GAAP EPS rising by 15% [4]. Market Dynamics - Both companies reported high-single-digit to low-double-digit increases in payment volume and frequency, indicating resilience in their business models [5]. - The fee structure of Mastercard and Visa is based on transaction frequency and total sales, making them somewhat recession-resistant [5]. Shareholder Returns - In 2025, Mastercard returned $11.73 billion through stock buybacks and $2.76 billion in dividends, while Visa's latest quarter saw $3.73 billion in buybacks and $1.29 billion in dividends [8]. - Both companies yield less than 1% due to a preference for buybacks over dividends, but if funds were reallocated, Mastercard could yield about 3% and Visa about 3.1% [9]. Valuation and Investment Thesis - Both stocks are considered reasonably valued based on price-to-free cash flow and forward earnings expectations [10]. - Mastercard and Visa are viewed as foundational stocks for long-term portfolios due to their strong business models and global network effects [12]. Regulatory Environment - Concerns about capping credit card interest rates at 10% may persist, but it is believed that such a low cap would lead financial institutions to restrict credit access, ultimately harming consumers [13].