Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-02-01 12:38Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen is emerging as a significant economic powerhouse in China, with its GDP projected to reach 38,731.8 billion yuan in 2025, making it the third-largest economy in the country and likely to surpass 40 trillion yuan by 2026 [2][30]. Group 1: Economic Growth - Shenzhen's GDP is expected to grow by 5.5% year-on-year, ranking first among major cities in China [3][31]. - The city contributed 1,929 billion yuan to the provincial GDP growth, accounting for 45.8% of the total increase, solidifying its role as the strongest economic engine in the province [3][31]. Group 2: Industrial Leadership - Shenzhen has become the first city in China to achieve an industrial output value exceeding 50 trillion yuan, with a projected industrial output of 54 trillion yuan in 2024 [6][35]. - The city continues to lead in industrial value-added growth at 5.4% in 2025, maintaining its status as the top industrial city in the country [6][35]. Group 3: Foreign Trade Dominance - In 2025, Shenzhen's total import and export volume is expected to reach 45,500 billion yuan, marking a 1.4% increase and maintaining its position as the leading city for foreign trade in mainland China [9][38]. - Shenzhen's export volume has achieved 33 consecutive months of growth, contributing 10% to the national total and 48% to Guangdong's total foreign trade [10][38]. Group 4: Entrepreneurial Environment - The total number of business entities in Shenzhen has surpassed 4.65 million, making it the city with the most entrepreneurs in China [13][41]. - In 2025, Shenzhen is projected to add 14,000 new foreign-funded enterprises, reflecting a growth of over 40% [13][41]. Group 5: Research and Development - Shenzhen's total R&D expenditure is expected to reach 245.31 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 9.7%, leading the country in R&D intensity at 6.67% [14][42]. - The city ranks first in the number of high-value patents, with 241,900 patent grants and 24,950 trademark registrations in 2024 [14][42]. Group 6: Cross-Border E-commerce - Shenzhen is recognized as the leading city for cross-border e-commerce, with import and export volumes reaching 372 billion yuan in 2024 [16][44]. - By 2025, the gross merchandise volume (GMV) of cross-border e-commerce in Shenzhen is expected to exceed 1 trillion yuan, representing a significant portion of the national market [18][45]. Group 7: Shenzhen's Success Factors - The success of Shenzhen is attributed to a combination of external factors (such as reform and opening-up) and internal characteristics (such as a market-driven economy and a culture of innovation) [22][52]. - The city embodies a spirit of entrepreneurship and innovation, emphasizing the importance of efficiency and a proactive approach to economic development [26][54].