美联储降息转向“缩表” 沪金震荡

Group 1 - The core focus of the market has shifted from short-term interest rate cuts to the potential aggressive "balance sheet reduction" policy proposed by Kevin Warsh, nominated by Trump as a candidate for the Federal Reserve Chair [3] - Warsh has been a long-time critic of the Federal Reserve's excessive balance sheet expansion, arguing it leads to "monetary dominance" and market distortions [3] - If implemented, the Federal Reserve may accelerate the reduction of its current $6.6 trillion balance sheet, which could create upward pressure on long-term interest rates, conflicting with the government's goal of lowering long-term borrowing costs [3] Group 2 - The Shanghai gold futures market saw a significant drop, with the main contract AU2606 falling by 12.31% to close at 1079 yuan per gram, breaking below the critical support level of 1180 yuan per gram [4] - The technical indicators have shifted from a bullish trend to a strong bearish dominance, with MACD green bars expanding significantly and RSI dropping to 28, indicating an oversold condition [4] - The COMEX gold price also fell to $4686 per ounce, influenced by a stronger dollar and delayed interest rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve, ending the bullish trend observed in January [4]