Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Bank of America Securities maintains a "neutral" rating on Great Wall Motors (02333) due to strong model projects and moderate profit growth being reasonably reflected in the valuation, with a target price of HKD 18 [1] Group 2 - Great Wall Motors reported preliminary revenue for 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 10% to RMB 222.8 billion, while preliminary net profit decreased by 22% to RMB 9.9 billion [1] - The preliminary net profit, excluding one-time items, was RMB 6.2 billion, representing a year-on-year decline of 36% [1] - For the fourth quarter, preliminary revenue is estimated to have increased by 15% year-on-year, or 13% quarter-on-quarter, reaching RMB 69.2 billion, with sales growth of 5% year-on-year and 13% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The preliminary net profit for the fourth quarter decreased by 44% year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter to RMB 1.3 billion, which is below the forecast of RMB 4.4 billion [1] - Excluding one-time items, the fourth quarter preliminary net profit was RMB 683 million, down 50% year-on-year and 64% quarter-on-quarter, primarily impacted by year-end bonus recognition [1] Group 3 - Management indicated that the company only received tax refunds related to sales in the first to third quarters of 2025, with fourth-quarter refunds yet to be received [2] - The decline in net profit for 2025 is attributed to an increase in expenses of RMB 1.7 billion due to the expansion of the direct sales network [2] - The WEY brand channel has reached 421 stores, including 132 new stores, which require approximately six months of ramp-up time and involve significant upfront costs [2] - Higher R&D and marketing expenditures for new models are projected to increase by RMB 1 billion in 2025, including investments in WEY high mountain, the revamped Tank 500, and Tank 400Z [2]
美银证券:长城汽车(02333)上季业绩逊预期 重申“中性”评级