中电联预计今年太阳能发电装机规模首超煤电

Core Insights - In 2025, China's total electricity consumption is projected to exceed 10 trillion kilowatt-hours for the first time, reaching 10.37 trillion kilowatt-hours, with a year-on-year growth of 5.0% [2] - The report indicates that the electricity supply will continue to transition towards green and low-carbon sources, with a balanced supply and demand overall [1][4] Electricity Consumption Growth - The average annual growth rate of total electricity consumption during the 14th Five-Year Plan period is expected to be 6.6%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points compared to the 13th Five-Year Plan [2] - By July 2025, the monthly electricity consumption is expected to surpass 1 trillion kilowatt-hours, marking a global first [2] Sector Contributions - The secondary industry remains the primary contributor to electricity consumption, with high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors showing a significant increase in electricity usage, growing by 6.4% year-on-year, which is 3.0 percentage points higher than the average growth of the manufacturing sector [2][3] - The third industry is projected to consume 1.99 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2025, with an 8.2% year-on-year growth, contributing 30.7% to the overall electricity consumption growth [3] Renewable Energy Expansion - By the end of 2025, the installed capacity of renewable energy sources is expected to account for 61.7% of the total installed capacity, with a significant increase in solar and wind power installations [5][6] - The report anticipates that by 2026, the installed capacity of solar power will surpass that of coal power, with renewable energy sources expected to contribute over 80% of the new installed capacity [6] Electricity Market Development - By the end of 2025, the initial establishment of a unified national electricity market is expected to be achieved, facilitating better resource allocation across regions [7] - The report emphasizes the need for continued development of the unified electricity market, including breaking down inter-provincial barriers and enhancing market operations [7][8]