高端制造业成为我国用电量增长核心引擎

Core Insights - In 2025, China's total electricity consumption is projected to exceed 10 trillion kilowatt-hours, marking the first time a single economy has reached this milestone, driven by robust economic growth and structural optimization in electricity consumption [1][2] Group 1: Electricity Demand Growth - The report indicates that electricity consumption in high-tech and equipment manufacturing industries will grow by 6.4% year-on-year in 2025, surpassing the average growth rate of the manufacturing sector by 3 percentage points [2] - The automotive manufacturing sector is expected to see a double-digit growth in electricity consumption, with a growth rate of 10.9% [2] - The photovoltaic equipment and components manufacturing industry will experience a significant increase, with a growth rate of 11.3% in the fourth quarter, reflecting positive responses to the "anti-involution" policies [2] Group 2: Structural Changes in Industries - The report highlights that all nine sectors within high-tech and equipment manufacturing will achieve positive growth in electricity consumption, indicating a shift towards high-end and green transformation in manufacturing [2] - The third sector, including services like charging and swapping services, mobile internet, big data, and cloud computing, is experiencing rapid growth, showcasing the vitality of the digital economy and new infrastructure development [2] Group 3: Future Projections - For 2026, the total electricity consumption in China is expected to reach between 10.9 trillion and 11 trillion kilowatt-hours, with a year-on-year growth of 5% to 6% [2] - The report anticipates that by the end of 2026, the installed capacity of solar power will surpass that of coal power for the first time, with the combined installed capacity of wind and solar power reaching half of the total installed generation capacity [2]